VIDEO: Why is the Atlantic hurricane season on holiday?

Hurricane season is nearly half over, and while the early part of the season was right on schedule, it's starting to slow down during a time when things are usually ramping up.

So far this year there have been two hurricanes and one tropical depression. During an average year, the third named storm would have happened by August 13.


Earlier in the week, it looked like that may have happened with a disturbance off the coast of Africa, but the entire system fell apart in a matter of a couple days.

It ran into a couple of problems notorious for crushing future hurricanes' dreams: cold ocean waters and wind shear.


These two hurricane killers have been persistent for a little while now. Just last week, the National Hurricane Center updated their 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook.

Before the season began, it was giving it a 50-percent chance of a below normal season. Now, it’s upped the chances of a below normal season to 70 percent.


The NHC cited the same two reasons for downgrading its forecast. For good measure, it also threw in the fact the African easterly jet is less favorable for hurricane development, the trade winds are blowing a little more, and the West African monsoon is a little weaker than usual.


There's also still one wild card -- El Nino. There's only a 55- to 60-percent chance of one forming in the next three to four months.

El Nino commonly reduces Atlantic hurricane seasons to nothing, so if one forms, expect things to really slow down.

In the meantime, meteorologists are closely watching the Atlantic for any tropical formation. After all, late August and September are typically the busiest time of year for hurricane formation.

Follow Storm Shield Meteorologist Jason Meyers via the Storm Shield app on Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube. Download the Storm Shield Weather Radio App for your iPhone or Android device and get severe weather alerts wherever you are.

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